Birmingham City v Swansea City
Saturday 15:00
Chance of each result
49%
Birmingham City win
28%
Draw
23%
Swansea City win
Goals in the match
2.3 likelyMost likely score
1-0 (14%)Published
Sun 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Birmingham City
Chance creation. Birmingham City generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Swansea City concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.