Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen
Friday 19:30 · Signal Iduna Park
Chance of each result
56%
Borussia Dortmund win
22%
Draw
22%
SV Werder Bremen win
Goals in the match
3.2 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Thu 19:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Borussia Dortmund
Chance creation. Borussia Dortmund generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; SV Werder Bremen concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.