Middlesbrough v Bristol City
Saturday 15:00
Chance of each result
59%
Middlesbrough win
22%
Draw
19%
Bristol City win
Goals in the match
3.0 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Thu 15:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Middlesbrough
Chance creation. Middlesbrough generate 1.6 goals' worth of chances per game; Bristol City concede 1.7.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.