Cardiff City v Burnley
Saturday 15:00
Chance of each result
44%
Cardiff City win
25%
Draw
31%
Burnley win
Goals in the match
2.9 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Tue 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Cardiff City
Chance creation. Cardiff City generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Burnley concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.