Portsmouth v Stoke City
Saturday 12:30
Chance of each result
48%
Portsmouth win
28%
Draw
24%
Stoke City win
Goals in the match
2.3 likelyMost likely score
1-0 (14%)Published
Mon 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Portsmouth
Chance creation. Portsmouth generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Stoke City concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.