Birmingham City v Millwall
Tuesday 20:00 · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Chance of each result
43%
Birmingham City win
27%
Draw
30%
Millwall win
Goals in the match
2.5 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Sun 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Birmingham City
Chance creation. Birmingham City generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Millwall concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.