Portsmouth v Swansea City
Tuesday 19:45 · Fratton Park
Chance of each result
41%
Portsmouth win
29%
Draw
30%
Swansea City win
Goals in the match
2.3 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (14%)Published
Sun 15:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Portsmouth
Chance creation. Portsmouth generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Swansea City concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.