Derby County v Norwich City
Tuesday 19:45 · Pride Park Stadium
Chance of each result
34%
Derby County win
27%
Draw
39%
Norwich City win
Goals in the match
2.6 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Sun 15:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Norwich City
Chance creation. Derby County generate 1.2 goals' worth of chances per game; Norwich City concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.