Parma v AS Roma
Saturday 17:00
Chance of each result
44%
Parma win
20%
Draw
36%
AS Roma win
Goals in the match
4.2 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (7%)Published
Sat 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Parma
Chance creation. Parma generate 0.8 goals' worth of chances per game; AS Roma concede 3.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.