Burnley v Portsmouth
Saturday 15:00 · Turf Moor
Chance of each result
50%
Burnley win
24%
Draw
26%
Portsmouth win
Goals in the match
2.9 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Fri 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Burnley
Chance creation. Burnley generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Portsmouth concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.