SSC Napoli v Lazio
Sunday 11:30
Chance of each result
50%
SSC Napoli win
27%
Draw
22%
Lazio win
Goals in the match
2.3 likelyMost likely score
1-0 (14%)Published
Thu 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans SSC Napoli
Chance creation. SSC Napoli generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Lazio concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.