Olympique de Marseille v Le Mans
Sunday 19:45
Chance of each result
51%
Olympique de Marseille win
22%
Draw
27%
Le Mans win
Goals in the match
3.4 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (9%)Published
Thu 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Olympique de Marseille
Chance creation. Olympique de Marseille generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Le Mans concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.