SK Sturm Graz v NK Celje
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
31%
SK Sturm Graz win
24%
Draw
45%
NK Celje win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Mon 07:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans NK Celje
Chance creation. SK Sturm Graz generate 0.7 goals' worth of chances per game; NK Celje concede 2.0.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.