Portsmouth v Millwall
Saturday 12:30 · Fratton Park
Chance of each result
34%
Portsmouth win
27%
Draw
40%
Millwall win
Goals in the match
2.6 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Thu 19:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Millwall
Chance creation. Portsmouth generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Millwall concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.