Lecce v Genoa
Sunday 17:00 · Via del Mare
Chance of each result
33%
Lecce win
31%
Draw
36%
Genoa win
Goals in the match
2.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (14%)Published
Wed 15:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Genoa
Chance creation. Lecce generate 0.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Genoa concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.