Benfica v Lech Poznań
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
26%
Benfica win
18%
Draw
55%
Lech Poznań win
Goals in the match
4.5 likelyMost likely score
1-2 (7%)Published
Wed 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Lech Poznań
Chance creation. Benfica generate 3.2 goals' worth of chances per game; Lech Poznań concede 0.0.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.