AZ Alkmaar v Juventus
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
45%
AZ Alkmaar win
21%
Draw
34%
Juventus win
Goals in the match
4.1 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (8%)Published
Wed 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans AZ Alkmaar
Chance creation. AZ Alkmaar generate 2.6 goals' worth of chances per game; Juventus concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.