Sassuolo v Fiorentina
Monday 17:30 · Mapei Stadium
Chance of each result
48%
Sassuolo win
26%
Draw
27%
Fiorentina win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Tue 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Sassuolo
Chance creation. Sassuolo generate 1.1 goals' worth of chances per game; Fiorentina concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.