Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain
Tuesday 20:00 · Estadio de la Ceramica
Chance of each result
45%
Villarreal win
24%
Draw
30%
Paris Saint-Germain win
Goals in the match
3.0 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Tue 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Villarreal
Chance creation. Villarreal generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Paris Saint-Germain concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.