Paris Saint-Germain v Troyes
Saturday 19:45
Chance of each result
54%
Paris Saint-Germain win
22%
Draw
25%
Troyes win
Goals in the match
3.5 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (9%)Published
Tue 15:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Paris Saint-Germain
Chance creation. Paris Saint-Germain generate 2.0 goals' worth of chances per game; Troyes concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.