Real Sociedad v Olympique Lyonnais
Thursday 17:45
Chance of each result
35%
Real Sociedad win
28%
Draw
37%
Olympique Lyonnais win
Goals in the match
2.4 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Tue 15:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Olympique Lyonnais
Chance creation. Real Sociedad generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Olympique Lyonnais concede 0.9.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.