Auxerre v Paris FC
Saturday 16:15
Chance of each result
44%
Auxerre win
27%
Draw
29%
Paris FC win
Goals in the match
2.5 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Tue 15:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Auxerre
Chance creation. Auxerre generate 1.1 goals' worth of chances per game; Paris FC concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.