Fiorentina v Atalanta
Thursday 19:45 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Chance of each result
35%
Fiorentina win
24%
Draw
40%
Atalanta win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Tue 15:02Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Atalanta
Chance creation. Fiorentina generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Atalanta concede 1.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.