Real Madrid v RB Leipzig
Wednesday 20:00 · Bernabéu
Chance of each result
54%
Real Madrid win
22%
Draw
24%
RB Leipzig win
Goals in the match
3.4 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (9%)Published
Thu 19:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Real Madrid
Chance creation. Real Madrid generate 2.1 goals' worth of chances per game; RB Leipzig concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.