Lazio v Parma
Saturday 19:45 · Stadio Olimpico
Chance of each result
55%
Lazio win
26%
Draw
19%
Parma win
Goals in the match
2.2 likelyMost likely score
1-0 (14%)Published
Tue 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Lazio
Chance creation. Lazio generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Parma concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.