Fixtures/Europa League/FC Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar

FC Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar

Thursday 17:45 · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Medium confidence
Chance of each result
52%
FC Ararat-Armenia win
22%
Draw
27%
AZ Alkmaar win
Goals in the match
3.5 likely
Most likely score
1-1 (9%)
Published
Thu 19:03
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Why it leans FC Ararat-Armenia
Chance creation. FC Ararat-Armenia generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; AZ Alkmaar concede 2.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.