Monza v Cagliari
Monday 17:30 · U-Power Stadium
Chance of each result
56%
Monza win
21%
Draw
23%
Cagliari win
Goals in the match
3.4 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (10%)Published
Thu 19:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Monza
Chance creation. Monza generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Cagliari concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.