Toulouse v Troyes
Saturday 16:15 · Stadium de Toulouse
Chance of each result
32%
Toulouse win
27%
Draw
41%
Troyes win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Fri 19:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Troyes
Chance creation. Toulouse generate 2.2 goals' worth of chances per game; Troyes concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.