Fixtures/Champions League/AS Roma v Real Madrid

AS Roma v Real Madrid

Wednesday 20:00 · Stadio Olimpico
Low confidence
Chance of each result
42%
AS Roma win
21%
Draw
38%
Real Madrid win
Goals in the match
4.2 likely
Most likely score
2-2 (7%)
Published
Thu 19:01
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Why it leans AS Roma
Chance creation. AS Roma generate 2.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Real Madrid concede 1.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.