Benfica v Celtic
Thursday 20:00 · Estádio da Luz
Chance of each result
66%
Benfica win
17%
Draw
16%
Celtic win
Goals in the match
3.9 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (9%)Published
Thu 19:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Benfica
Chance creation. Benfica generate 3.2 goals' worth of chances per game; Celtic concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.