Arsenal v Lille
Tuesday 20:00 · Emirates Stadium
Chance of each result
52%
Arsenal win
25%
Draw
23%
Lille win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Thu 19:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Arsenal
Chance creation. Arsenal generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Lille concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.