Atlético Madrid v Manchester United
Tuesday 20:00 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Chance of each result
44%
Atlético Madrid win
26%
Draw
30%
Manchester United win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Thu 19:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Atlético Madrid
Chance creation. Atlético Madrid generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Manchester United concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.