FC Barcelona v Villarreal
Sunday 19:00
Chance of each result
65%
FC Barcelona win
20%
Draw
15%
Villarreal win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
2-0 (10%)Published
Mon 22:12Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans FC Barcelona
Chance creation. FC Barcelona generate 2.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Villarreal concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.