Real Madrid v Celta Vigo
Sunday 19:00
Chance of each result
69%
Real Madrid win
18%
Draw
13%
Celta Vigo win
Goals in the match
3.4 likelyMost likely score
2-0 (10%)Published
Mon 22:12Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Real Madrid
Chance creation. Real Madrid generate 2.1 goals' worth of chances per game; Celta Vigo concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.