Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano
Sunday 19:00
Chance of each result
44%
Real Sociedad win
26%
Draw
30%
Rayo Vallecano win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Mon 22:12Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Real Sociedad
Chance creation. Real Sociedad generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Rayo Vallecano concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.