Valencia v Real Madrid
Sunday 19:00
Chance of each result
28%
Valencia win
28%
Draw
44%
Real Madrid win
Goals in the match
2.4 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Mon 22:12Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Real Madrid
Chance creation. Valencia generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Real Madrid concede 1.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.