Elche v Valencia
Sunday 19:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Chance of each result
32%
Elche win
27%
Draw
41%
Valencia win
Goals in the match
2.5 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Mon 22:12Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Valencia
Chance creation. Elche generate 1.1 goals' worth of chances per game; Valencia concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.