FC Augsburg v 1. FSV Mainz 05

Fixtures/Bundesliga/FC Augsburg v 1. FSV Mainz 05

Sunday 14:30

Medium confidence

Chance of each result

26%

FC Augsburg win

22%

Draw

52%

1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Goals in the match

3.6 likely

Most likely score

1-2 (9%)

Published

Mon 22:11

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Why it leans 1. FSV Mainz 05

Chance creation. FC Augsburg generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; 1. FSV Mainz 05 concede 1.7.

Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.

Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.

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