Borussia M'gladbach v Borussia Dortmund
Saturday 14:30
Chance of each result
22%
Borussia M'gladbach win
24%
Draw
54%
Borussia Dortmund win
Goals in the match
2.9 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Mon 22:11Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Borussia Dortmund
Chance creation. Borussia M'gladbach generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Borussia Dortmund concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.