Hamburger SV v Borussia M'gladbach
Friday 19:30
Chance of each result
32%
Hamburger SV win
26%
Draw
43%
Borussia M'gladbach win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Mon 22:11Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Borussia M'gladbach
Chance creation. Hamburger SV generate 1.2 goals' worth of chances per game; Borussia M'gladbach concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.