Fixtures/Bundesliga/SC Freiburg v 1. FC Union Berlin

SC Freiburg v 1. FC Union Berlin

Sunday 16:30
Medium confidence
Chance of each result
46%
SC Freiburg win
25%
Draw
29%
1. FC Union Berlin win
Goals in the match
3.0 likely
Most likely score
1-1 (11%)
Published
Mon 22:11
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Why it leans SC Freiburg
Chance creation. SC Freiburg generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; 1. FC Union Berlin concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.