1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln

Fixtures/Bundesliga/1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln

Sunday 14:30 · An der alten Försterei

Low confidence

Chance of each result

36%

1. FC Union Berlin win

25%

Draw

39%

1. FC Köln win

Goals in the match

2.9 likely

Most likely score

1-1 (12%)

Published

Mon 22:11

Subscribers

The clearest call on this match

Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.

Unlock for £9 / month

Why it leans 1. FC Köln

Chance creation. 1. FC Union Berlin generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; 1. FC Köln concede 1.6.

Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.

Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.

Also this weekend

Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen

Fri 9 Oct · 19:30

56%

RC Lens v Olympique Lyonnais