Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart
Saturday 14:30 · BayArena
Chance of each result
51%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
21%
Draw
28%
VfB Stuttgart win
Goals in the match
3.6 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (9%)Published
Mon 22:11Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Chance creation. Bayer 04 Leverkusen generate 1.9 goals' worth of chances per game; VfB Stuttgart concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.