1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen

Fixtures/Bundesliga/1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen

Saturday 14:30 · MEWA Arena

Medium confidence

Chance of each result

52%

1. FSV Mainz 05 win

21%

Draw

27%

SV Werder Bremen win

Goals in the match

3.7 likely

Most likely score

2-1 (9%)

Published

Thu 19:04

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Why it leans 1. FSV Mainz 05

Chance creation. 1. FSV Mainz 05 generate 2.2 goals' worth of chances per game; SV Werder Bremen concede 1.6.

Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.

Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.

Also this weekend

Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen

Fri 9 Oct · 19:30

56%

RC Lens v Olympique Lyonnais