Arsenal v Hull City
Saturday 15:00
Chance of each result
84%
Arsenal win
10%
Draw
6%
Hull City win
Goals in the match
4.4 likelyMost likely score
3-0 (9%)Published
Mon 22:02Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Arsenal
Chance creation. Arsenal generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Hull City concede 2.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.