Queens Park Rangers v Derby County
Wednesday 19:45 · Loftus Road Stadium
Chance of each result
45%
Queens Park Rangers win
27%
Draw
28%
Derby County win
Goals in the match
2.6 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Thu 19:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Queens Park Rangers
Chance creation. Queens Park Rangers generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Derby County concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.