Aston Villa v Fulham
Saturday 20:00 · Villa Park
Chance of each result
46%
Aston Villa win
27%
Draw
27%
Fulham win
Goals in the match
2.5 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Mon 07:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Aston Villa
Chance creation. Aston Villa generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Fulham concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.