Southampton v Portsmouth
Sunday 12:00 · St. Mary's Stadium
Chance of each result
63%
Southampton win
19%
Draw
18%
Portsmouth win
Goals in the match
3.5 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (10%)Published
Thu 19:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Southampton
Chance creation. Southampton generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Portsmouth concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.