Bournemouth v Leeds United
Saturday 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Chance of each result
54%
Bournemouth win
22%
Draw
24%
Leeds United win
Goals in the match
3.4 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (10%)Published
Sun 23:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Bournemouth
Chance creation. Bournemouth generate 1.6 goals' worth of chances per game; Leeds United concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.