Newcastle United v Everton
Saturday 15:00 · St James' Park
Chance of each result
59%
Newcastle United win
21%
Draw
19%
Everton win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Thu 23:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Newcastle United
Chance creation. Newcastle United generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Everton concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.